スタッツ比較
オフェンススタッツ比較
| 琉球 | 島根 | |||
| 3FG% | ☆ | 36.49% | 34.48% | |
| FT% | 73.37% | 79.03% | ☆ | |
| 2FG% | 52.37% | 56.35% | ☆ | |
| PitP% | ☆ | 50.15% | 41.64% | |
| SCP% | ☆ | 17.85% | 16.43% | |
| SCP Rtg | ☆ | 1.16 | 1.13 | |
| FBP% | 14.95% | 15.17% | ☆ | |
| 2ptA% | ☆ | 60.04% | 52.19% | |
| 3ptA% | 30.13% | 38.45% | ☆ | |
| 2pt割合 | ☆ | 55.94% | 51.00% | |
| ペリメタ割合 | 5.78% | 9.35% | ☆ | |
| 3pt割合 | 29.48% | 34.39% | ☆ | |
| FT割合 | 14.59% | 14.61% | ☆ | |
| FT獲得率 | ☆ | 25.07% | 23.83% | |
| eFG% | 53.44% | 54.52% | ☆ | |
| ORB% | ☆ | 36.59% | 32.96% | |
| OFFRtg | 118.36 | 121.59 | ☆ | |
| TS% | 56.33% | 57.85% | ☆ | |
| pace | 71.07 | 71.23 | ☆ | |
| AST% | ☆ | 53.81% | 53.60% | |
| HOMEeFG% | ☆ | 55.60% | 55.18% | |
| HOMETS% | 57.93% | 58.61% | ||
| AWAYeFG | 51.28% | 53.81% | ☆ | |
| AWAYTS% | 54.73% | 57.03% | ☆ | |
| TOV% | ☆ | 17.00% | 14.09% | |
| POSSESSION | 70.84 | 71.62 | ☆ | |
| Shot Chances | ☆ | 86.68 | 85.50 | |
| 攻撃成功回数 | 74.61 | 75.39 | ☆ | |
| AST/ TOV | 2.03 | 2.36 | ☆ | |
| TOM | 1.874 | 1.924 | ☆ | |
| VPS | 124.88 | 125.18 | ☆ | |
| P % | 44.75% | 44.92% | ☆ | |
| LiveTOV% | ☆ | 9.19% | 6.95% | |
| DeadTOV% | ☆ | 7.81% | 7.14% | |
| PfT% | ☆ | 20.51% | 16.67% | |
| PfTRtg | ☆ | 1.29 | 1.18 | |
| FTD% | ☆ | 9.83% | 9.36% | |
| HOMEFT% | 69.63% | 79.36% | ☆ | |
| AWAYFT% | 74.97% | 79.52% | ☆ | |
| HOFFRtg | 120.04 | 121.7 | ☆ | |
| AOFFRtg | 116.7 | 121.5 | ☆ | |
| H2FG％ | 53.25% | 56.42% | ☆ | |
| H3FG% | ☆ | 39.79% | 35.65% | |
| A2FG％ | 51.49% | 56.28% | ☆ | |
| A3FG% | ☆ | 34.24% | 33.58% |
オフェンス戦略は全くの逆だが、アシストやフリースロー、試合のペースはほぼ同じ。しかし各種決定率の高さやターンオーバー割合の低さから総合的な攻撃効率は島根の方が高い。
琉球はホームで跳ね上がる３pt決定率、島根は武器として使い、高確率で決めているペリメタが攻撃のポイントになるだろう。
ディフェンススタッツ比較
数値が低い方が高評価になります
| 琉球 | 島根 | |||
| Opp2ptFG% | ☆ | 50.47% | 53.31% | |
| Opp3ptFG% | ☆ | 31.59% | 32.52% | |
| OppPitP% | ☆ | 44.81% | 46.81% | |
| OppSCP% | ☆ | 12.93% | 13.18% | |
| OPPSCP Rtg | ☆ | 0.99 | 1.05 | |
| OppFBP% | 13.95% | 13.95% | ||
| Opp2ptA% | ☆ | 58.65% | 59.64% | |
| Opp3ptA% | 31.95% | 30.00% | ☆ | |
| Opp2pt割合 | ☆ | 56.18% | 57.32% | |
| Oppペリメタ割合 | 11.38% | 10.51% | ☆ | |
| Opp3pt割合 | 28.62% | 26.46% | ☆ | |
| OppFT割合 | ☆ | 15.19% | 16.21% | |
| OppFT獲得率 | ☆ | 23.99% | 26.58% | |
| OppeFG% | ☆ | 49.16% | 51.95% | |
| DRB% | 74.63% | 71.54% | ☆ | |
| DFFRtg | ☆ | 102.64 | 110.31 | |
| OppTS% | ☆ | 52.56% | 0.55 | |
| OppAST% | ☆ | 52.72% | 54.58% | |
| HOppeFG%% | ☆ | 48.07% | 51.81% | |
| HOppTS% | ☆ | 51.80% | 55.22% | |
| AOppeFG% | ☆ | 50.26% | 52.10% | |
| AOppTS% | ☆ | 53.31% | 55.64% | |
| OppTOV% | 18.35% | 17.40% | ☆ | |
| OppAST/ TOV | ☆ | 1.55 | 1.77 | |
| TDM | ☆ | 1.53 | 2.37 | |
| OppPfT% | 16.05% | 0.15 | ☆ | |
| OppFTD% | ☆ | 9.45% | 10.40% | |
| OppLiveTOV% | 10.50% | 10.24% | ☆ | |
| OppDeadTOV% | 7.85% | 0.07 | ☆ | |
| HOpp2FG％ | ☆ | 45.75% | 49.02% | |
| HOpp3FG% | 29.47% | 29.41% | ☆ | |
| AOpp2FG％ | ☆ | 51.92% | 53.63% | |
| AOpp3FG% | ☆ | 31.59% | 34.28% | |
| HDFFRtg | ☆ | 101.23 | 108.92 | |
| ADFFRtg | ☆ | 104.05 | 111.81 |
オフェンススタッツとは打って変わって、同様のディフェンス戦略で迎え撃つ2チーム。
しかしながら,やはり島根のOpp2pt決定率の高さや、ディフェンスリバウンド獲得率の低さが気になります。全体的なディフェンススタッツは琉球に軍配。
琉球ホームと島根アウェイの守備効率の差は10得点にも及んでいます。
敗戦傾向
平均と敗戦してしまった試合の平均の差分をとり、大きく差分があった値についてピックアップし分析したいと思います
琉球ゴールデンキングス
| 勝敗 | シーズン平均 | 敗戦平均 | 平均との差分 |
| PTS | 84.375 | 70.85714286 | -13.518 |
| 3FG% | 36.28% | 24.76% | -11.53% |
| DR | 27.28571429 | 23.57142857 | -3.7143 |
| TR | 40.82142857 | 37.42857143 | -3.3929 |
| AS | 21.07142857 | 16.85714286 | -4.2143 |
| 2FG% | 52.32% | 47.10% | -5.22% |
| Opp2ptFG% | 50.47% | 53.66% | 3.20% |
| OppPitP% | 44.81% | 42.96% | -1.85% |
| OppSCP% | 12.93% | 15.73% | 2.80% |
| FBP% | 14.94% | 18.10% | 3.16% |
| 3ptA% | 29.96% | 33.43% | 3.47% |
| OppFT割合 | 15.19% | 18.62% | 3.43% |
| OppFT獲得率 | 23.99% | 28.40% | 4.41% |
| eFG% | 53.29% | 43.67% | -9.62% |
| Opppts | 72.98 | 81.29 | 8.30 |
| DRB% | 74.54% | 68.02% | -6.52% |
| OFFRtg | 118.50 | 102.63 | -15.87 |
| DFFRtg | 102.76 | 117.62 | 14.86 |
| NetRtg | 15.74 | -14.99 | -30.74 |
| OppTS% | 0.53 | 0.56 | 3.8% |
| HOMEeFG% | 55.30% | 46.61% | -8.69% |
| HOMETS% | 57.74% | 50.29% | -7.45% |
| AWAYeFG | 51.28% | 39.76% | -11.52% |
| AWAYTS% | 54.73% | 43.56% | -11.17% |
| HOppeFG%% | 48.07% | 51.26% | 3.19% |
| HOppTS% | 51.80% | 57.40% | 5.61% |
| OppTOV% | 0.18 | 0.15 | -3.58% |
| OR Chances | 36.52 | 41.57 | 5.05 |
| HOMEFT% | 70.19% | 78.58% | 8.39% |
| HOFFRtg | 120.33 | 109.18 | -11.15 |
| HDFFRtg | 101.47 | 122.89 | 21.42 |
| AOFFRtg | 116.67 | 93.89 | -22.78 |
| ADFFRtg | 104.05 | 110.60 | 6.56 |
| H2FG％ | 53.15% | 49.05% | -4.10% |
| H3FG% | 39.41% | 28.90% | -10.51% |
| A2FG％ | 51.49% | 44.50% | -6.99% |
| A3FG% | 34.24% | 19.23% | -15.01% |
| HOppFT% | 72.84% | 90.40% | 17.56% |
ディフェンスチームでありながら、意外にもオフェンススタッツの低下が敗戦を招いている。
敗戦では特に３pt試投の割合が上がっており（平均＋３％）決定率が下がる（平均−１３％）という傾向から、2ptを閉められ３ptを打たされたゲームに敗戦していると言えるでしょう。
ディフェンス面においては、ディフェンスリバウンド獲得率の低下とSCPによる失点割合向上が敗戦に直結しています
島根スサノオマジック
| 平均 | 敗戦平均 | 平均との差分 | |
| PTS | 87.0 | 75.3 | -11.67 |
| 3FG% | 34.48% | 29.13% | -5.36% |
| FT% | 79.03% | 82.71% | 3.68% |
| TR | 37.7 | 33.1 | -4.64 |
| 2FG% | 56.35% | 51.79% | -4.57% |
| Opp2ptFG% | 53.31% | 56.78% | 3.47% |
| PitP% | 41.64% | 37.56% | -4.08% |
| OppSCP% | 13.18% | 16.56% | 3.37% |
| ペリメタ割合 | 9.35% | 13.66% | 4.31% |
| FT獲得率 | 23.83% | 20.69% | -3.14% |
| eFG% | 54.52% | 48.39% | -6.13% |
| OppeFG% | 51.95% | 55.11% | 3.16% |
| ORB% | 32.96% | 28.10% | -4.86% |
| DRB% | 71.54% | 64.47% | -7.07% |
| OFFRtg | 121.59 | 107.16 | -14.43 |
| DFFRtg | 110.31 | 120.17 | 9.85 |
| NetRtg | 11.28 | -13.01 | -24.29 |
| OppTS% | 55.4% | 58.4% | 3.0% |
| HOMEeFG% | 55.18% | 48.27% | -6.91% |
| HOMETS% | 58.61% | 52.98% | -5.63% |
| AWAYeFG | 53.81% | 48.47% | -5.34% |
| AWAYTS% | 57.03% | 51.64% | -5.39% |
| HOppeFG% | 51.81% | 58.05% | 6.24% |
| HOppTS% | 55.22% | 60.80% | 5.58% |
| ASTRtg | 29.49 | 24.68 | -4.81 |
| P % | 44.92% | 39.59% | -5.32% |
| HOMEFT% | 79.36% | 87.62% | 8.26% |
| OppLiveTOV割合 | 59.30% | 53.02% | -6.28% |
| OppDeadTOV割合 | 40.70% | 46.98% | 6.28% |
| HOFFRtg | 121.69 | 99.86 | -21.83 |
| HDFFRtg | 108.92 | 116.23 | 7.31 |
| AOFFRtg | 121.48 | 112.02 | -9.46 |
| ADFFRtg | 111.81 | 122.79 | 10.98 |
| H2FG％ | 56.42% | 50.88% | -5.55% |
| H3FG% | 35.65% | 29.83% | -5.82% |
| A2FG％ | 56.28% | 52.39% | -3.89% |
| A3FG% | 33.58% | 28.66% | -4.93% |
島根は、アウェイ戦においてはディフェンスの乱れが敗戦に繋がっているという面白い傾向が見られます。しかしアウェイ戦における相手の２pt・３pt決定率は平均値と１％も違わないため、相手にショットを決められているわけではありません。では何がディフェンス効率を押し下げているかというと、ディフェンスリバウンド獲得率です。敗戦では７％（本数換算で約4本）も下がっています。
そこからのセカンドチャンスによる失点割合やレーティングが高まってしまっています。
オフェンス部分においては、３pt決定率が大きく減少しています。２ptや３pt試投割合やフリースローポゼッションが殆ど変わらないため、いつも通り打って、外してしまっているという分析しづらい状況が見えてきます。
対戦分析（琉球目線）
| 勝敗 | L | W | W | W | |
| 対戦相手 | 島根 | 島根 | 島根 | 島根 | |
| H/A | a | a | h | h | |
| Min | 200 | 200 | 200 | 200 | |
| PTS | 76 | 92 | 93 | 71 | 9.33 |
| FGM | 27 | 40 | 35 | 23 | 5.67 |
| FGA | 61 | 72 | 67 | 69 | 8.33 |
| FG% | 44.30% | 55.60% | 52.20% | 33.30% | 2.73% |
| 3FGM | 3 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 4.33 |
| 3FGA | 16 | 21 | 25 | 24 | 7.33 |
| 3FG% | 18.80% | 23.80% | 36.00% | 33.30% | 12.23% |
| FTM | 19 | 7 | 14 | 17 | -6.33 |
| FTA | 28 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -13 |
| FT% | 67.90% | 100.00% | 87.50% | 77.30% | 20.37% |
| OR | 15 | 15 | 14 | 19 | 1 |
| DR | 23 | 22 | 26 | 27 | 2 |
| TR | 38 | 37 | 40 | 46 | 3 |
| AS | 15 | 26 | 15 | 19 | 5 |
| TO | 18 | 15 | 11 | 8 | -6.67 |
| ST | 6 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
| BS | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1.67 |
| BSR | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -0.67 |
| F | 15 | 13 | 15 | 15 | -0.67 |
| FO | 22 | 15 | 16 | 20 | -5 |
| 2FGM | 24 | 35 | 26 | 15 | 1.33 |
| 2FGA | 45 | 51 | 42 | 45 | 1 |
| 2FG% | 53.33% | 68.63% | 61.90% | 33.33% | 1.29% |
| Opp2ptFG% | 61.90% | 65.00% | 60.00% | 45.71% | -5.00% |
| Opp3ptFG% | 33.30% | 29.40% | 24.00% | 32.10% | -4.80% |
| PitP | 38 | 68 | 38 | 24 | 5.33 |
| SCP | 14 | 18 | 22 | 12 | 3.33 |
| FBP | 16 | 33 | 12 | 6 | 1 |
| PitP% | 50.00% | 73.91% | 40.86% | 33.80% | -0.47% |
| OppPitP% | 52.87% | 48.65% | 43.90% | 38.24% | -9.28% |
| SCP% | 18.42% | 19.57% | 23.66% | 16.90% | 1.62% |
| OppSCP% | 13.79% | 0.00% | 15.85% | 17.65% | -2.63% |
| SCP Rtg | 0.93 | 1.20 | 1.57 | 0.63 | 0.20 |
| OPPSCP Rtg | 1.09 | 0.00 | 1.44 | 1.09 | (0.25) |
| FBP% | 21.05% | 35.87% | 12.90% | 8.45% | -1.98% |
| OppFBP% | 8.05% | 8.11% | 4.88% | 13.24% | 0.69% |
| 2ptA% | 61.37% | 67.93% | 56.73% | 57.19% | -0.76% |
| Opp2ptA% | 56.54% | 66.09% | 54.85% | 51.59% | 0.97% |
| 3ptA% | 21.82% | 27.97% | 33.77% | 30.50% | 8.92% |
| Opp3ptA% | 36.35% | 28.09% | 34.28% | 41.27% | -1.80% |
| 2pt割合 | 63.16% | 76.09% | 55.91% | 42.25% | -5.07% |
| Opp2pt割合 | 59.77% | 70.27% | 58.54% | 47.06% | -1.15% |
| ペリメタ割合 | 13.16% | 2.17% | 15.05% | 8.45% | -4.60% |
| Oppペリメタ割合 | 6.90% | 21.62% | 14.63% | 8.82% | 8.13% |
| 3pt割合 | 11.84% | 16.30% | 29.03% | 33.80% | 14.54% |
| Opp3pt割合 | 31.03% | 20.27% | 21.95% | 39.71% | -3.73% |
| FT割合 | 25.00% | 7.61% | 15.05% | 23.94% | -9.46% |
| OppFT割合 | 9.20% | 9.46% | 19.51% | 13.24% | 4.87% |
| FT獲得率 | 45.90% | 9.72% | 23.88% | 31.88% | -24.07% |
| OppFT獲得率 | 17.39% | 14.04% | 27.69% | 17.46% | 2.34% |
| eFG% | 46.72% | 59.03% | 58.96% | 39.13% | 5.65% |
| OppeFG% | 57.25% | 58.77% | 50.77% | 46.83% | -5.12% |
| Opppts | 87 | 74 | 82 | 68 | -12.33 |
| ORB% | 40.54% | 51.72% | 43.75% | 38.78% | 4.21% |
| DRB% | 67.65% | 88.00% | 74.29% | 71.05% | 10.13% |
| OFFRtg | 103.63 | 128.00 | 134.79 | 105.70 | 19.20 |
| DFFRtg | 114.87 | 100.71 | 124.63 | 108.33 | -3.64 |
| NetRtg | -11.24 | 27.29 | 10.16 | -2.63 | 22.85 |
| TORtg | 24.54 | 20.87 | 15.94 | 11.91 | -8.30 |
| TS% | 51.83% | 61.27% | 62.80% | 45.12% | 4.57% |
| OppTS% | 58.56% | 61.14% | 56.23% | 50.12% | -2.74% |
| pace | 74.54 | 72.68 | 67.40 | 64.97 | -6.19 |
| AST% | 38.15% | 60.35% | 35.68% | 58.14% | 13.24% |
| OppAST% | 47.17% | 52.14% | 42.19% | 40.21% | -2.32% |
| TOV% | 24.54% | 20.87% | 15.94% | 11.91% | -8.30% |
| OppTOV% | 18.48% | 24.50% | 9.12% | 19.12% | -0.91% |
| POSSESSION | 73.34 | 71.88 | 69.00 | 67.17 | -3.99 |
| OppPOSSESSION | 75.74 | 73.48 | 65.80 | 62.77 | -8.39 |
| Shot Chances | 91.32 | 90.08 | 85.04 | 86.68 | -4.05 |
| Opp Shot Chances | 88.28 | 78.52 | 78.92 | 79.84 | -9.19 |
| 攻撃成功回数 | 73.32 | 75.08 | 74.04 | 78.68 | 2.61 |
| Opp攻撃成功回数 | 74.28 | 60.52 | 72.92 | 67.84 | -7.19 |
| AST/ TOV | 0.83 | 1.73 | 1.36 | 2.38 | 0.99 |
| OppAST/ TOV | 1.36 | 1.00 | 2.67 | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| TOM | 2.67 | 4.13 | 4.00 | 0.86 | 0.33 |
| TDM | 1.17 | 0.86 | 0.50 | 2.25 | 0.04 |
| VPS | 114.29 | 129.57 | 133.32 | 117.42 | 12.48 |
| OppVPS | 120.38 | 91.45 | 109.43 | 109.28 | -16.99 |
| ASTRtg | 20.45 | 36.17 | 21.74 | 28.29 | 8.28 |
| OppASTRtg | 25.09 | 24.50 | 24.32 | 19.12 | -2.44 |
| P % | 36.81% | 55.65% | 50.73% | 34.24% | 10.06% |
| OppP % | 46.21% | 42.19% | 45.60% | 39.83% | -3.67% |
| LiveTOV割合 | 33.33% | 46.67% | 72.73% | 50.00% | 23.13% |
| DeadTOV割合 | 66.67% | 53.33% | 27.27% | 50.00% | -23.13% |
| LiveTOV% | 8.18% | 9.74% | 11.60% | 5.95% | 0.92% |
| DeadTOV% | 16.36% | 11.13% | 4.35% | 5.95% | -9.22% |
| FT Freq | 56.00% | 20.53% | 44.00% | 48.40% | -18.36% |
| OR Chances | 37 | 29 | 32 | 49 | -0.33 |
| DR Chances | 34 | 25 | 35 | 38 | -1.33 |
| Diff R Chances | 3 | 4 | (3) | 11 | 1 |
| PIE | 43.83% | 63.25% | 54.69% | 55.41% | 13.95% |
| FGM +FTD | 39.32 | 43.08 | 42.04 | 32.68 | -0.05 |
| OppMin | 200 | 200 | 200 | 200 | 0 |
| OppPTS | 87 | 74 | 82 | 68 | -12.33 |
| OppFGM | 35 | 31 | 30 | 25 | -6.33 |
| OppFGA | 69 | 57 | 65 | 63 | -7.33 |
| OppFG% | 0.507 | 0.544 | 0.462 | 0.397 | -0.04 |
| Opp3FGM | 9 | 5 | 6 | 9 | -2.33 |
| Opp3FGA | 27 | 17 | 25 | 28 | -3.67 |
| Opp3FG% | 0.333 | 0.294 | 0.24 | 0.321 | -0.048 |
| OppFTM | 8 | 7 | 16 | 9 | 2.67 |
| OppFTA | 18 | 11 | 14.5 | ||
| OppFT% | 0.667 | 0.875 | 0.88 | 0.818 | 0.19 |
| OppOR | 11 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -3.33 |
| OppDR | 22 | 14 | 18 | 30 | -1.33 |
| OppTR | 33 | 17 | 27 | 41 | -4.67 |
| OppAS | 19 | 18 | 16 | 12 | -3.67 |
| OppTO | 14 | 18 | 6 | 12 | -2 |
| OppST | 6 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 0.33 |
| OppBS | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -0.67 |
| OppBSR | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1.67 |
| OppF | 23 | 15 | 16 | 20 | -6 |
| PfT | 12 | 30 | 9 | 22 | 8.33 |
| PfT% | 15.79% | 32.61% | 9.68% | 30.99% | 8.63% |
| OppPfT% | 10.34% | 18.92% | 12.20% | 7.35% | 2.48% |
| PfTRtg | 0.857 | 1.667 | 1.500 | 1.833 | 0.810 |
| OppPfTRtg | 0.5 | 0.93 | 0.90 | 0.625 | 0.32 |
| FTD% | 16.80% | 4.10% | 9.51% | 12.30% | -8.17% |
| OppFTD% | 7.11% | 5.82% | 10.86% | 7.13% | 0.83% |
| OppLiveTOV割合 | 42.86% | 44.44% | 50.00% | 58.33% | 8.07% |
| OppDeadTOV割合 | 57.14% | 55.56% | 50.00% | 41.67% | -8.07% |
| OppLiveTOV% | 7.92% | 10.89% | 4.56% | 11.15% | 0.94% |
| OppDeadTOV% | 10.56% | 13.61% | 4.56% | 7.97% | -1.85% |
※琉球目線で書きますので、島根ブースターの方は攻守を逆に考えていただけると読みやすいと思います
琉球目線で見てみると、多少ディフェンスが疎かになっていても、攻撃がうまくいっている試合は勝利する傾向にあるようです。島根はインサイドを閉めてくるチームであるため、3pt試投の割合が平均並かそれを少し上回る本数を放ち、平均並（３５〜６％）決められれば勝利を得ています。
逆にインサイドで勝負をしすぎてしまった場合には敗戦しているということがわかります。
ディフェンス面においては、ディフェンスリバウンドを７０％以上獲得しているゲームは勝利しています。オフェンスリバウンドが勝敗に関連していない点は面白いところでしょう。
あとは当然ですが、ターンオーバーのポゼッションが多くなってしまうと敗戦します
他に面白い傾向としては、ハイペースゲームに持ち込まれると琉球は敗戦してしまうようです。
さらに興味深いのが、ハイペースゲームに持ち込んで速攻による得点割合が2割を超えると敗戦しています。これは複合的な要因ですがショットが入らないためペースアップを狙ったものと考えられます。
これらは全てリード・トラビス選手不在での数値ですので、準決勝の予想に利用可能かは意見が分かれるところです
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