千葉ジェッツVS宇都宮ブレックス
オフェンススタッツ比較
数字が高いものに☆マークをつけています
| 千葉 | 宇都宮 | |||
| 3FG% | ☆ | 36.75% | 34.52% | |
| FT% | ☆ | 78.06% | 72.68% | |
| 2FG% | ☆ | 55.79% | 52.67% | |
| PitP% | 41.01% | 47.64% | ☆ | |
| SCP% | 15.00% | 16.50% | ☆ | |
| SCP Rtg | ☆ | 1.13 | 1.09 | |
| FBP% | ☆ | 14.06% | 13.00% | |
| 2ptA% | 51.98% | 59.41% | ☆ | |
| 3ptA% | ☆ | 35.95% | 29.98% | |
| 2pt割合 | 48.58% | 56.62% | ☆ | |
| ペリメタ割合 | 7.57% | 8.56% | ☆ | |
| 3pt割合 | ☆ | 33.25% | 27.63% | |
| FT割合 | ☆ | 18.18% | 15.75% | |
| FT獲得率 | ☆ | 31.75% | 27.32% | |
| eFG% | ☆ | 55.36% | 52.53% | |
| ORB% | 32.67% | 34.24% | ☆ | |
| OFFRtg | ☆ | 122.25 | 118.76 | |
| TS% | ☆ | 59.45% | 55.70% | |
| pace | ☆ | 71.66 | 67.51 | |
| AST% | ☆ | 56.49% | 54.16% | |
| HOMEeFG% | ☆ | 56.48% | 51.38% | |
| HOMETS% | ☆ | 60.29% | 54.78% | |
| AWAYeFG | 53.69% | 53.68% | ||
| AWAYTS% | 58.20% | 56.63% | ||
| TOV% | 16.10% | 16.15% | ☆ | |
| POSSESSION | ☆ | 72.10 | 67.29 | |
| Shot Chances | ☆ | 85.85 | 82.57 | |
| 攻撃成功回数 | ☆ | 74.25 | 71.71 | |
| AST/ TOV | ☆ | 2.21 | 2.17 | |
| TOM | ☆ | 2.232 | 1.792 | |
| VPS | ☆ | 126.79 | 118.58 | |
| P % | 43.30% | 44.49% | ☆ | |
| LiveTOV% | ☆ | 9.69% | 8.06% | |
| DeadTOV% | 6.40% | 8.09% | ☆ | |
| PfT% | 17.71% | 19.76% | ☆ | |
| PfTRtg | ☆ | 1.24 | 1.23 | |
| FTD% | ☆ | 12.08% | 10.60% | |
| HOMEFT% | ☆ | 77.46% | 72.58% | |
| AWAYFT% | ☆ | 78.62% | 71.54% | |
| HOFFRtg | ☆ | 125.13 | 116.8 | |
| HDFFRtg | ☆ | 105.37 | 101.5 | |
| AOFFRtg | 118.7 | 120.7 | ☆ | |
| ADFFRtg | ☆ | 111.5 | 101.2 | |
| H2FG％ | ☆ | 57.22% | 51.09% | |
| H3FG% | ☆ | 37.37% | 34.53% | |
| A2FG％ | ☆ | 54.32% | 54.24% | |
| A3FG% | ☆ | 36.32% | 34.23% |
ディフェンススタッツ比較
数字が低いものに☆マークをつけています
| 千葉 | 宇都宮 | |||
| Opp2ptFG% | 52.22% | 45.62% | ☆ | |
| Opp3ptFG% | ☆ | 29.30% | 34.96% | |
| OppPitP% | 44.14% | 41.02% | ☆ | |
| OppSCP% | ☆ | 13.84% | 14.34% | |
| OPPSCP Rtg | ☆ | 0.96 | 1.04 | |
| OppFBP% | 15.51% | 12.25% | ☆ | |
| Opp2ptA% | ☆ | 53.53% | 57.55% | |
| Opp3ptA% | 34.50% | 31.69% | ☆ | |
| Opp2pt割合 | 52.77% | 50.93% | ☆ | |
| Oppペリメタ割合 | ☆ | 8.63% | 9.01% | |
| Opp3pt割合 | ☆ | 28.44% | 31.79% | |
| OppFT割合 | 18.79% | 17.28% | ☆ | |
| OppFT獲得率 | 31.37% | 27.78% | ☆ | |
| OppeFG% | 49.02% | 47.90% | ☆ | |
| DRB% | ☆ | 70.72% | 72.97% | |
| DFFRtg | 107.84 | 101.34 | ☆ | |
| OppTS% | 53.11% | 51.67% | ☆ | |
| OppAST% | 52.68% | 51.55% | ☆ | |
| HOppeFG%% | 48.06% | 47.34% | ☆ | |
| HOppTS% | 52.43% | 51.21% | ☆ | |
| AOppeFG% | 50.46% | 48.46% | ☆ | |
| AOppTS% | 54.13% | 52.12% | ☆ | |
| OppTOV% | ☆ | 17.59% | 19.18% | |
| OppAST/ TOV | 1.71 | 1.45 | ☆ | |
| TDM | 1.79 | 1.75 | ☆ | |
| OppPfT% | ☆ | 16.94% | 16.95% | |
| OppFTD% | 11.97% | 10.80% | ☆ | |
| OppLiveTOV% | ☆ | 9.10% | 10.06% | |
| OppDeadTOV% | ☆ | 8.49% | 9.11% | |
| HOpp2FG％ | 51.85% | 45.69% | ☆ | |
| HOpp3FG% | ☆ | 27.70% | 34.04% | |
| AOpp2FG％ | 52.77% | 42.50% | ☆ | |
| AOpp3FG% | ☆ | 31.71% | 33.49% |
千葉敗戦傾向
シーズン平均と、敗戦平均の特に目立ったものを抜粋して記載しています
| シーズン平均 | 敗戦平均 | 平均との差分 | |
| PTS | 88.1 | 78.5 | -9.59 |
| 3FG% | 36.75% | 31.48% | -5.27% |
| 2FG% | 55.79% | 51.56% | -4.23% |
| Opp2ptFG% | 52.22% | 52.47% | 0.25% |
| Opp3ptFG% | 29.30% | 35.49% | 6.19% |
| OppSCP% | 13.84% | 17.42% | 3.58% |
| OppFBP% | 15.51% | 11.94% | -3.57% |
| Opp2pt割合 | 52.77% | 49.17% | -3.60% |
| OppFT獲得率 | 31.37% | 35.39% | 4.02% |
| eFG% | 55.36% | 49.26% | -6.10% |
| Opppts | 76.76 | 86.40 | 9.64 |
| ORB% | 32.67% | 27.97% | -4.70% |
| DRB% | 70.72% | 64.76% | -5.97% |
| OFFRtg | 122.25 | 109.93 | -12.31 |
| DFFRtg | 107.84 | 121.00 | 13.17 |
| NetRtg | 14.41 | -11.07 | -25.48 |
| AST% | 56.49% | 53.29% | -3.20% |
| HOMEeFG% | 56.48% | 47.53% | -8.95% |
| HOMETS% | 60.29% | 50.59% | -9.70% |
| AWAYeFG | 53.69% | 49.69% | -4.00% |
| AWAYTS% | 58.20% | 54.60% | -3.60% |
| OppTOV% | 17.6% | 14.4% | -3.20% |
| Opp攻撃成功回数 | 72.27 | 76.55 | 4.28 |
| HOMEFT% | 77.46% | 64.30% | -13.16% |
| HOFFRtg | 125.13 | 100.17 | (24.95) |
| HDFFRtg | 105.37 | 109.15 | 3.78 |
| AOFFRtg | 118.72 | 112.37 | (6.35) |
| ADFFRtg | 111.54 | 123.97 | 12.43 |
| H2FG％ | 57.22% | 49.54% | -7.68% |
| H3FG% | 37.37% | 29.75% | -7.62% |
| A3FG% | 36.32% | 31.91% | -4.41% |
宇都宮敗戦傾向
シーズン平均と、敗戦平均の特に目立ったものを抜粋して記載しています
| シーズン平均 | 敗戦平均 | 平均との差分 | |
| 対戦相手 | |||
| H/A | |||
| Min | 200.8 | 203.1 | 2.29 |
| PTS | 79.8 | 68.6 | -11.18 |
| 3FG% | 34.52% | 25.36% | -9.16% |
| FT% | 72.68% | 70.59% | -2.09% |
| AS | 20.4 | 16.8 | -3.61 |
| 2FG% | 52.67% | 48.17% | -4.49% |
| Opp2ptFG% | 44.12% | 48.87% | 4.76% |
| PitP% | 47.64% | 51.12% | 3.48% |
| OppSCP% | 14.34% | 17.12% | 2.78% |
| 2pt割合 | 56.62% | 60.48% | 3.85% |
| Opp2pt割合 | 48.91% | 50.91% | 2.00% |
| 3pt割合 | 27.63% | 24.21% | -3.42% |
| FT獲得率 | 27.32% | 22.83% | -4.49% |
| OppFT獲得率 | 27.78% | 31.03% | 3.25% |
| eFG% | 52.53% | 45.14% | -7.39% |
| OppeFG% | 46.92% | 51.40% | 4.48% |
| Opppts | 69.14 | 77.31 | 8.17 |
| ORB% | 34.24% | 30.71% | -3.53% |
| DRB% | 72.97% | 68.42% | -4.55% |
| OFFRtg | 118.76 | 101.25 | -17.50 |
| DFFRtg | 101.34 | 112.49 | 11.15 |
| NetRtg | 17.42 | -11.24 | -28.66 |
| OppAST% | 51.55% | 46.44% | -5.11% |
| HOMEeFG% | 51.38% | 46.22% | -5.15% |
| HOMETS% | 54.78% | 49.73% | -5.05% |
| AWAYeFG | 53.68% | 43.75% | -9.93% |
| AWAYTS% | 56.63% | 46.77% | -9.86% |
| AOppeFG% | 48.46% | 52.15% | 3.69% |
| AOppTS% | 52.12% | 55.75% | 3.63% |
| TOV% | 16.15% | 18.07% | 1.92% |
| OppTOV% | 19.2% | 17.4% | -1.81% |
| Opp攻撃成功回数 | 66.99 | 69.63 | 2.64 |
| AWAYFT% | 71.54% | 64.46% | -7.08% |
| HOFFRtg | 116.80 | 104.07 | (12.73) |
| HDFFRtg | 101.46 | 113.39 | 11.92 |
| AOFFRtg | 120.71 | 97.63 | (23.09) |
| ADFFRtg | 101.21 | 111.33 | 10.13 |
| A2FG％ | 54.24% | 48.85% | -5.39% |
| A3FG% | 34.23% | 20.16% | -14.08% |
対戦結果 （千葉視点）
| 勝敗 | L | W | W | L | W平均ーL 平均 |
| 対戦相手 | 宇都宮 | 宇都宮 | 宇都宮 | 宇都宮 | |
| H/A | a | h | a | a | |
| Min | 200 | 200 | 200 | 200 | 0 |
| PTS | 75 | 93 | 74 | 69 | 11.5 |
| FGM | 28 | 34 | 23 | 23 | 3 |
| FGA | 61 | 63 | 60 | 58 | 2 |
| FG% | 45.90% | 54.00% | 38.30% | 39.70% | 3.35% |
| 3FGM | 6 | 7 | 7 | 9 | -1 |
| 3FGA | 20 | 24 | 21 | 30 | -2.5 |
| 3FG% | 30.00% | 29.20% | 33.30% | 30.00% | 1.25% |
| FTM | 13 | 18 | 21 | 14 | 6 |
| FTA | 14 | 21 | 27 | 18 | 8 |
| FT% | 92.90% | 85.70% | 77.80% | 77.80% | -3.60% |
| OR | 10 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 4 |
| DR | 16 | 23 | 25 | 34 | -1 |
| TR | 26 | 37 | 37 | 43 | 2.5 |
| AS | 21 | 23 | 16 | 12 | 3 |
| TO | 16 | 9 | 15 | 17 | -4.5 |
| ST | 4 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 3.5 |
| BS | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -0.5 |
| BSR | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0.5 |
| F | 24 | 19 | 17 | 24 | -6 |
| FO | 18 | 19 | 25 | 20 | 3 |
| 2FGM | 22 | 27 | 16 | 14 | 3.5 |
| 2FGA | 41 | 39 | 39 | 28 | 4.5 |
| 2FG% | 53.66% | 69.23% | 41.03% | 50.00% | 3.30% |
| Opp2ptFG% | 62.22% | 46.51% | 59.38% | 46.15% | -1.24% |
| Opp3ptFG% | 40.00% | 20.00% | 25.00% | 24.00% | -9.50% |
| PitP | 38 | 52 | 30 | 24 | 10 |
| SCP | 11 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 7.5 |
| FBP | 8 | 4 | 14 | 7 | 1.5 |
| PitP% | 50.67% | 55.91% | 40.54% | 34.78% | 5.50% |
| OppPitP% | 56.00% | 54.55% | 47.89% | 44.44% | 0.99% |
| SCP% | 14.67% | 26.88% | 17.57% | 17.39% | 6.20% |
| OppSCP% | 19.00% | 36.36% | 2.82% | 27.78% | -3.80% |
| SCP Rtg | 1.10 | 1.79 | 1.08 | 1.33 | 0.22 |
| OPPSCP Rtg | 1.46 | 1.26 | 0.29 | 1.82 | -0.87 |
| FBP% | 10.67% | 4.30% | 18.92% | 10.14% | 1.20% |
| OppFBP% | 13.00% | 12.12% | 22.54% | 8.33% | 6.66% |
| 2ptA% | 61.05% | 53.99% | 54.26% | 42.48% | 2.36% |
| Opp2ptA% | 59.56% | 60.26% | 48.37% | 51.70% | -1.31% |
| 3ptA% | 29.78% | 33.22% | 29.22% | 45.51% | -6.43% |
| Opp3ptA% | 26.47% | 28.03% | 42.32% | 33.14% | 5.37% |
| 2pt割合 | 58.67% | 58.06% | 43.24% | 40.58% | 1.03% |
| Opp2pt割合 | 56.00% | 60.61% | 53.52% | 50.00% | 4.06% |
| ペリメタ割合 | 8.00% | 2.15% | 2.70% | 5.80% | -4.47% |
| Oppペリメタ割合 | 0.00% | 6.06% | 5.63% | 5.56% | 3.07% |
| 3pt割合 | 24.00% | 22.58% | 28.38% | 39.13% | -6.09% |
| Opp3pt割合 | 24.00% | 18.18% | 29.58% | 25.00% | -0.62% |
| FT割合 | 17.33% | 19.35% | 28.38% | 20.29% | 5.06% |
| OppFT割合 | 20.00% | 21.21% | 16.90% | 25.00% | -3.44% |
| FT獲得率 | 22.95% | 33.33% | 45.00% | 31.03% | 12.17% |
| OppFT獲得率 | 36.92% | 30.16% | 23.33% | 40.63% | -12.03% |
| eFG% | 50.82% | 59.52% | 44.17% | 47.41% | 2.73% |
| OppeFG% | 61.54% | 41.27% | 49.17% | 42.19% | -6.64% |
| Opppts | 100 | 66 | 71 | 72 | -17.5 |
| ORB% | 33.33% | 48.28% | 32.43% | 25.00% | 11.19% |
| DRB% | 55.17% | 54.76% | 78.13% | 75.56% | 1.08% |
| OFFRtg | 107.51 | 141.83 | 104.96 | 103.47 | 17.91 |
| DFFRtg | 143.35 | 107.54 | 104.56 | 105.44 | -18.34 |
| NetRtg | -35.84 | 34.29 | 0.40 | -1.97 | 36.25 |
| TORtg | 22.94 | 13.73 | 21.28 | 25.49 | -6.71 |
| TS% | 55.84% | 64.37% | 51.47% | 52.34% | 3.84% |
| OppTS% | 66.17% | 46.24% | 53.66% | 47.72% | -7.00% |
| pace | 69.76 | 63.47 | 69.20 | 67.49 | -2.29 |
| AST% | 61.48% | 53.19% | 45.87% | 38.81% | -0.61% |
| OppAST% | 45.10% | 46.35% | 62.19% | 42.33% | 10.56% |
| TOV% | 22.94% | 13.73% | 21.28% | 25.49% | -6.71% |
| OppTOV% | 11.47% | 22.81% | 23.56% | 10.25% | 12.33% |
| POSSESSION | 69.76 | 65.57 | 70.50 | 66.69 | -0.19 |
| OppPOSSESSION | 69.76 | 61.37 | 67.90 | 68.29 | -4.39 |
| Shot Chances | 83.16 | 81.24 | 86.88 | 82.92 | 1.02 |
| Opp Shot Chances | 83.56 | 85.36 | 82.16 | 82.44 | 0.76 |
| 攻撃成功回数 | 67.16 | 72.24 | 71.88 | 65.92 | 5.52 |
| Opp攻撃成功回数 | 75.56 | 71.36 | 66.16 | 75.44 | -6.74 |
| AST/ TOV | 1.31 | 2.56 | 1.07 | 0.71 | 0.80 |
| OppAST/ TOV | 2.63 | 1.07 | 1.25 | 2.14 | -1.22 |
| TOM | 2.00 | 0.57 | 2.00 | 2.33 | -0.88 |
| TDM | 1.63 | 2.67 | 2.00 | 0.60 | 1.22 |
| VPS | 101.35 | 130.53 | 111.35 | 112.23 | 14.15 |
| OppVPS | 133.54 | 100.27 | 103.42 | 110.39 | -20.12 |
| ASTRtg | 30.10 | 35.08 | 22.69 | 17.99 | 4.84 |
| OppASTRtg | 30.10 | 24.44 | 29.45 | 21.97 | 0.91 |
| P % | 40.14% | 51.85% | 32.62% | 34.49% | 4.92% |
| OppP % | 51.61% | 39.11% | 38.29% | 35.15% | -4.68% |
| LiveTOV割合 | 50.00% | 33.33% | 53.33% | 58.82% | -11.08% |
| DeadTOV割合 | 50.00% | 66.67% | 46.67% | 41.18% | 11.08% |
| LiveTOV% | 11.47% | 4.58% | 11.35% | 15.00% | -5.27% |
| DeadTOV% | 11.47% | 9.15% | 9.93% | 10.50% | -1.44% |
| FT Freq | 34.22% | 48.63% | 47.52% | 39.60% | 11.16% |
| OR Chances | 30 | 29 | 37 | 36 | 0 |
| DR Chances | 29 | 42 | 32 | 45 | 0 |
| Diff R Chances | 1 | -13 | 5 | -9 | 0 |
| PIE | 32.76% | 74.21% | 50.70% | 44.00% | 24.08% |
| FGM +FTD | 34.16 | 43.24 | 34.88 | 30.92 | 6.52 |
| OppPTS | 100 | 66 | 71 | 72 | -17.5 |
| OppFGM | 36 | 24 | 26 | 24 | -5 |
| OppFGA | 65 | 63 | 60 | 64 | -3 |
| OppFG% | 0.554 | 0.381 | 0.433 | 0.375 | -0.06 |
| Opp3FGM | 8 | 4 | 7 | 6 | -1.5 |
| Opp3FGA | 20 | 20 | 28 | 25 | 1.5 |
| Opp3FG% | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.25 | 0.24 | -0.10 |
| OppFTM | 20 | 14 | 12 | 18 | -6 |
| OppFTA | 24 | 19 | 14 | 26 | -8.5 |
| OppFT% | 0.833 | 0.737 | 0.857 | 0.692 | 0.03 |
| OppOR | 13 | 19 | 7 | 11 | 1 |
| OppDR | 20 | 15 | 25 | 27 | -3.5 |
| OppTR | 33 | 34 | 32 | 38 | -2.5 |
| OppAS | 21 | 15 | 20 | 15 | -0.5 |
| OppTO | 8 | 14 | 16 | 7 | 7.5 |
| OppST | 8 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -3.5 |
| OppBS | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0.5 |
| OppBSR | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -0.5 |
| OppF | 18 | 19 | 25 | 20 | 3 |
| OppFO | 23 | 19 | 17 | 24 | -5.5 |
| PfT | 8 | 15 | 23 | 2 | 14 |
| PfT% | 10.67% | 16.13% | 31.08% | 2.90% | 16.82% |
| OppPfT% | 15.00% | 21.21% | 25.35% | 19.44% | 6.06% |
| PfTRtg | 1.000 | 1.071 | 1.438 | 0.286 | 0.612 |
| OppPfTRtg | 0.93 | 1.56 | 1.2 | 0.82 | 0.50 |
| FTD% | 9.17% | 12.79% | 16.53% | 12.01% | 4.07% |
| OppFTD% | 13.98% | 11.72% | 9.31% | 15.16% | -4.06% |
| OppLiveTOV割合 | 50.00% | 50.00% | 43.75% | 42.86% | 0.45% |
| OppDeadTOV割合 | 50.00% | 50.00% | 56.25% | 57.14% | -0.45% |
| OppLiveTOV% | 5.73% | 11.41% | 10.31% | 4.39% | 5.79% |
| OppDeadTOV% | 5.73% | 11.41% | 13.25% | 5.86% | 6.53% |
予想
クオーターファイナルにおいて最も予想が難しい対戦カード。攻守の方針も、
3ptを打ちたい千葉に対し、３ptを守る宇都宮。
2ptを打ちたい宇都宮に対し, 2ptを守る千葉。
と噛み合っており、対戦成績も2勝２敗と完全に拮抗しています。
個人的に注目したのは2点で、
ホームゲームで攻撃力が爆発する（ORtg125）千葉に宇都宮が耐え切れるのか
そして、宇都宮の敗戦に密接に関係している３pt決定率です。
特に後者については、千葉の3pt被決定率にみられるように宇都宮が苦戦することが予想され、追い討ちをかけるように上記2点に多大な貢献をしている遠藤選手の欠場が予想されています。
これらのことから千葉勝利を予想します。
宇都宮勝利のシナリオとしては、（千葉に対しては難しいオーダーですが）ターンオーバーを全ポゼッションの22%（本数にして約15本）を目指します。
そして、千葉唯一の泣きどころフリースローを狙います。「全ショット＋フリースロー獲得ポゼッション」に対して14~15%（本数にして２２〜２4本）を達成できれば、勝利できるでしょう
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