ついに始まる21-22 B1チャンピオンシップ！私が持つスタッツをフル活用して、クオーターファイナルの予想をしていきたいと思います！！
皆様もぜひ予想にお役立てください ※スタッツの計算式は BasketBallReference 参照
※ディフェンススタッツは、下位の方が高評価になります
琉球ゴールデンキングスVS秋田ノーザンハピネッツ
オフェンススタッツ比較
数字が高いものに☆マークをつけています
| 琉球 | 秋田 | |||
| 3FG% | 36.28% | 37.78% | ☆ | |
| FT% | 73.66% | 75.12% | ☆ | |
| 2FG% | ☆ | 52.32% | 49.36% | |
| PitP% | ☆ | 50.14% | 40.05% | |
| SCP% | ☆ | 17.85% | 14.37% | |
| SCP Rtg | ☆ | 1.16 | 1.00 | |
| FBP% | 14.94% | 15.35% | ☆ | |
| 2ptA% | ☆ | 60.20% | 54.79% | |
| 3ptA% | 29.96% | 35.48% | ☆ | |
| 2pt割合 | ☆ | 56.10% | 48.87% | |
| ペリメタ割合 | 5.96% | 8.82% | ☆ | |
| 3pt割合 | 29.21% | 35.95% | ☆ | |
| FT割合 | 14.69% | 15.18% | ☆ | |
| FT獲得率 | ☆ | 25.12% | 24.90% | |
| eFG% | ☆ | 53.29% | 52.21% | |
| ORB% | ☆ | 36.59% | 29.75% | |
| OFFRtg | ☆ | 118.50 | 109.02 | |
| TS% | ☆ | 56.24% | 55.48% | |
| pace | 71.00 | 71.80 | ☆ | |
| AST% | 53.63% | 58.25% | ☆ | |
| HOMEeFG% | ☆ | 55.30% | 51.37% | |
| HOMETS% | ☆ | 57.74% | 54.68% | |
| AWAYeFG | 51.28% | 52.98% | ☆ | |
| AWAYTS% | 54.73% | 56.21% | ☆ | |
| TOV% | 16.75% | 19.22% | ☆ | |
| POSSESSION | 70.78 | 72.05 | ☆ | |
| Shot Chances | ☆ | 86.63 | 84.94 | |
| 攻撃成功回数 | ☆ | 74.74 | 71.09 | |
| AST/ TOV | ☆ | 2.06 | 1.64 | |
| TOM | ☆ | 1.783 | 1.420 | |
| VPS | ☆ | 124.81 | 115.21 | |
| P % | ☆ | 44.79% | 39.72% | |
| LiveTOV% | 9.21% | 9.97% | ☆ | |
| DeadTOV% | 7.54% | 9.25% | ☆ | |
| PfT% | 20.50% | 23.15% | ☆ | |
| PfTRtg | ☆ | 1.29 | 1.20 | |
| FTD% | ☆ | 9.84% | 9.73% | |
| HOMEFT% | 70.19% | 76.52% | ☆ | |
| AWAYFT% | ☆ | 74.97% | 73.33% | |
| HOFFRtg | ☆ | 120.33 | 109.5 | |
| HDFFRtg | 101.47 | 105.0 | ☆ | |
| AOFFRtg | ☆ | 116.7 | 108.5 | |
| ADFFRtg | 104.0 | 104.7 | ☆ | |
| H2FG％ | ☆ | 53.15% | 47.68% | |
| H3FG% | ☆ | 39.41% | 38.62% | |
| A2FG％ | ☆ | 51.49% | 50.93% | |
| A3FG% | 34.24% | 36.57% | ☆ |
ディフェンススタッツ比較
数字が低いものに☆マークをつけています
| 琉球 | 秋田 | |||
| Opp2ptFG% | ☆ | 50.47% | 52.30% | |
| Opp3ptFG% | 31.59% | 30.21% | ☆ | |
| OppPitP% | ☆ | 44.81% | 48.66% | |
| OppSCP% | ☆ | 12.93% | 16.12% | |
| OPPSCP Rtg | ☆ | 0.99 | 1.12 | |
| OppFBP% | ☆ | 10.26% | 13.18% | |
| Opp2ptA% | ☆ | 58.65% | 59.16% | |
| Opp3ptA% | 31.95% | 30.60% | ☆ | |
| Opp2pt割合 | ☆ | 56.18% | 58.12% | |
| Oppペリメタ割合 | 11.38% | 9.46% | ☆ | |
| Opp3pt割合 | 28.62% | 25.63% | ☆ | |
| OppFT割合 | ☆ | 15.19% | 16.25% | |
| OppFT獲得率 | ☆ | 23.99% | 26.36% | |
| OppeFG% | ☆ | 49.16% | 49.98% | |
| DRB% | 74.54% | 69.04% | ☆ | |
| DFFRtg | ☆ | 102.76 | 104.84 | |
| OppTS% | ☆ | 52.56% | 53.51% | |
| OppAST% | ☆ | 52.72% | 53.55% | |
| HOppeFG%% | ☆ | 48.07% | 50.72% | |
| HOppTS% | ☆ | 51.80% | 54.01% | |
| AOppeFG% | 50.26% | 49.30% | ☆ | |
| AOppTS% | 53.31% | 53.05% | ☆ | |
| OppTOV% | ☆ | 18.37% | 20.75% | |
| OppAST/ TOV | 1.55 | 1.36 | ☆ | |
| TDM | 1.53 | 1.50 | ☆ | |
| OppPfT% | ☆ | 16.05% | 20.27% | |
| OppFTD% | ☆ | 9.45% | 10.25% | |
| OppLiveTOV% | ☆ | 10.78% | 12.21% | |
| OppDeadTOV% | ☆ | 7.58% | 8.54% |
琉球敗戦傾向
シーズン平均と、敗戦平均の特に目立ったものを抜粋して記載しています
| シーズン平均 | 敗戦平均 | 平均との差分 | |
| PTS | 84.375 | 70.85 | -13.518 |
| 3FG% | 36.28% | 24.76% | -11.53% |
| DR | 27.28571429 | 23.57 | -3.7143 |
| TR | 40.82142857 | 37.42 | -3.3929 |
| AS | 21.07142857 | 16.85 | -4.2143 |
| 2FG% | 52.32% | 47.10% | -5.22% |
| Opp2ptFG% | 50.47% | 53.66% | 3.20% |
| OppPitP% | 44.81% | 42.96% | -1.85% |
| SCP% | 17.85% | 16.39% | -1.45% |
| OppSCP% | 12.93% | 15.73% | 2.80% |
| FBP% | 14.94% | 18.10% | 3.16% |
| 2ptA% | 60.20% | 57.50% | -2.69% |
| 3ptA% | 29.96% | 33.43% | 3.47% |
| 3pt割合 | 29.21% | 26.22% | -2.99% |
| OppFT割合 | 15.19% | 18.62% | 3.43% |
| eFG% | 53.29% | 43.67% | -9.62% |
| Opppts | 72.98 | 81.29 | 8.30 |
| DRB% | 74.54% | 68.02% | -6.52% |
| OFFRtg | 118.50 | 102.63 | -15.87 |
| DFFRtg | 102.76 | 117.62 | 14.86 |
| NetRtg | 15.74 | -14.99 | -30.74 |
| OppTS% | 0.53 | 0.56 | 3.8% |
| pace | 71 | 69.02 | -2 |
| HOMEeFG% | 55.30% | 46.61% | -8.69% |
| HOMETS% | 57.74% | 50.29% | -7.45% |
| AWAYeFG | 51.28% | 39.76% | -11.52% |
| AWAYTS% | 54.73% | 43.56% | -11.17% |
| HOppeFG% | 48.07% | 51.26% | 3.19% |
| HOppTS% | 51.80% | 57.40% | 5.61% |
| OppTOV% | 0.18 | 0.15 | -3.58% |
| HOMEFT% | 70.19% | 78.58% | 8.39% |
| AWAYFT% | 74.97% | 71.60% | -3.37% |
| HOFFRtg | 120.33 | 109.18 | -11.15 |
| HDFFRtg | 101.47 | 122.89 | 21.42 |
| AOFFRtg | 116.67 | 93.89 | -22.78 |
| H2FG％ | 53.15% | 49.05% | -4.10% |
| H3FG% | 39.41% | 28.90% | -10.51% |
| A2FG％ | 51.49% | 44.50% | -6.99% |
| A3FG% | 34.24% | 19.23% | -15.01% |
| HOppFT% | 72.84% | 90.40% | 17.56% |
秋田敗戦傾向
シーズン平均と、敗戦平均の特に目立ったものを抜粋して記載しています
| シーズン平均 | 敗戦平均 | 平均との差分 | |
| PTS | 78.7 | 72.9 | -5.82 |
| FGM | 28.6 | 26.8 | -1.82 |
| FGA | 64.1 | 64.3 | 0.11 |
| FG% | 44.78% | 41.87% | -2.91% |
| 3FGM | 9.5 | 8.4 | -1.15 |
| 3FGA | 25.2 | 24.9 | -0.37 |
| 3FG% | 37.78% | 33.71% | -4.07% |
| Opp2ptFG% | 52.30% | 57.65% | 5.35% |
| Opp3ptFG% | 30.21% | 36.11% | 5.91% |
| OFFRtg | 109.02 | 101.33 | -7.69 |
| DFFRtg | 104.84 | 118.55 | 13.71 |
| NetRtg | 4.18 | -17.23 | -21.41 |
| OppTS% | 53.5% | 59.4% | 5.8% |
| HOMEeFG% | 51.37% | 47.97% | -3.41% |
| HOMETS% | 54.68% | 52.02% | -2.66% |
| AWAYeFG | 52.98% | 48.75% | -4.23% |
| AWAYTS% | 56.21% | 51.88% | -4.34% |
| HOppeFG%% | 50.72% | 58.70% | 7.97% |
| HOppTS% | 54.01% | 62.13% | 8.11% |
| AOppeFG% | 49.30% | 54.22% | 4.93% |
| AOppTS% | 53.05% | 56.83% | 3.78% |
| HOMEFT% | 76.52% | 85.39% | 8.88% |
| HOFFRtg | 109.53 | 106.27 | -3.3 |
| HDFFRtg | 105.02 | 119.90 | 14.88 |
| AOFFRtg | 108.55 | 96.80 | -11.75 |
| ADFFRtg | 104.67 | 117.32 | 12.65 |
| H2FG％ | 47.68% | 45.88% | -1.79% |
| H3FG% | 38.62% | 34.49% | -4.13% |
| A3FG% | 36.57% | 33.00% | -3.57% |
予想
秋田にとって琉球は天敵と言っていい相手です。3ptを打ちたい秋田と、3ptを打たせず、打たせても被決定率が低い琉球。2ptを打ちたい琉球と、2ptを打たせて52%で決めさせてしまう秋田。ペリメタを打ちたくない秋田と、打たせてくる琉球と戦略が噛み合ってしまっていおり、さらにはオフェンスリバウンドを多く獲得する琉球に対し、ディフェンスリバウンド獲得率が低い点は致命的でこのゲームを左右してしまいます
秋田が勝利するシナリオは、オフェンスリバウンドを32％以上の決定率で獲得し、ターンオーバーポゼッションを20％の割合で奪い、３ptを35%以上の決定率で沈めることが条件になります。
しかしながらアイバーソン選手が欠場予想されている状況では、琉球の勝ち上がりを予想します
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